Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.008040 0.009036 0.010125 0.011406 0.012874 0.014509 0.016473
2025-02-09 0.006386 0.007722 0.009308 0.011341 0.013895 0.017019 0.021164
2025-02-16 0.005551 0.007042 0.008912 0.011453 0.014852 0.019293 0.025618
2025-02-23 0.004859 0.006399 0.008417 0.011289 0.015330 0.020901 0.029319
2025-03-02 0.004435 0.006034 0.008210 0.011436 0.016186 0.023062 0.034028
2025-03-09 0.004024 0.005629 0.007886 0.011352 0.016663 0.024688 0.038125
2025-03-16 0.003574 0.005119 0.007349 0.010881 0.016478 0.025257 0.040591
2025-03-23 0.003302 0.004837 0.007113 0.010826 0.016909 0.026811 0.044858
2025-03-30 0.003199 0.004795 0.007229 0.011320 0.018263 0.030014 0.052425
2025-04-06 0.002918 0.004454 0.006845 0.010963 0.018147 0.030688 0.055497
2025-04-13 0.002682 0.004163 0.006515 0.010659 0.018078 0.031421 0.058758
2025-04-20 0.002531 0.003996 0.006371 0.010653 0.018531 0.033141 0.064200
2025-04-27 0.002469 0.003978 0.006484 0.011128 0.019951 0.036936 0.074701
2025-05-04 0.002318 0.003798 0.006306 0.011067 0.020365 0.038850 0.081593
2025-05-11 0.002209 0.003681 0.006228 0.011176 0.021115 0.041531 0.090681
2025-05-18 0.002070 0.003501 0.006020 0.011016 0.021302 0.043048 0.097314
2025-05-25 0.001988 0.003414 0.005972 0.011159 0.022126 0.046049 0.108141
2025-06-01 0.001881 0.003276 0.005819 0.011078 0.022460 0.048000 0.116687
2025-06-08 0.001736 0.003057 0.005496 0.010619 0.021921 0.047862 0.119680
2025-06-15 0.001653 0.002947 0.005374 0.010566 0.022277 0.049892 0.129029
2025-06-22 0.001637 0.002963 0.005499 0.011047 0.023909 0.055269 0.149116
2025-06-29 0.001531 0.002799 0.005253 0.010700 0.023559 0.055606 0.154310
2025-07-06 0.001438 0.002654 0.005037 0.010403 0.023298 0.056145 0.160261